David Goodhew has an interesting article on the Covenant web site (here and below) suggesting that TEC’s numbers may fall below those of ACNA in the next 20 years. It is certainly cause for thought about some of the things we may take for granted. He also identifies significant additional potential growth due to Nigerian Anglicans arriving in the US. I would suggest that the projections for ACNA growth assume that no plateau stage is reached for their potential memberships, and also that the ACNA does not loose its current vitality, as other evangelical/ conservative churches are doing (see Joel Thiessen, The meaning of Sunday)